India 1981-86 - A Forecast on Economic, Political and Social Developments

THIS BOOK outlines time-specific predictive inferences regarding state of the nation from 1981 to 1986 A .D. Short-term future profiles of the country are explored through a set of six scenarios. They comprise a probable path, energy crisis, drought, increased politico-military pressure, multiple crises situation and a vision of optimism. The state of the nation is depicted in terms of politico-military pressure, administrative effectiveness, economic growth, price rise, unemployment, public unrest, internal ethnic tensions, total pressure on government, political stability, mass-standing of ruling leadership and expectations of society. The work aims at alerting the nation to impending perils in the near future as a consequence of external stresses and internal strains. The discussion of the subject mailer has been kept at a non-technical level throughout in order to make the work accessible to intelligent lay readers.

Author: PROFESSOR P.N. RASTOGI is an internationally known social scientist who has done pioneering work in the fields of social and management cybernetics, computer simulation of complex social systems and methodology of unstructured problem solving. He has done advanced research work at M.I.T (1967-68) and London School of Economics (1971 -72) and has been an invitee to international conferences In Cybernetics, Computer Science, Political Science, Sociology and Systems Research. Apart from numerous research papers and reports, he has also written The Nature & Dynamics of Factional Conflict (Macmillan, New Delhi, 1975), The Behaviour of Societal System (lIAS, Simla, 1978), Cybernetic Analysis of Indian Societal System (CPR, New Delhi, 1978), Social and Management Cybernetics (Affiliated East West Press, New Delhi 1979) and Intelligent Management Systems. He is associated with management systems studies at the Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur. INDIA 1981-86